Saturday 15 September 2007

Mission Accomplished - 4 Years Later...

The Daily Kos leads today with an analysis of Bush's national television address last night. He fumbled the Republican strategy of presenting the Petraeus Report as the nonpartisan, technocratic opinions of the generals ("who know best"), when it is officially the White House's own report to which Petraeus has been invited to contribute.

"The Republicans Are All In

by Devilstower

Fri Sep 14, 2007 at 10:34:06 PM PDT

Last night Bush went on television to explain how driving the world's greatest military to the point of destruction was his definition of success. Faced with reducing the current escalation only because there are no more troops and equipment available, he painted this not only a victory, but one in which he invited others to share. I think it's safe to say that Democrats will not be rushing to celebrate damage to our military that no foreign enemy could have accomplished. Republicans only wish Bush had kept his mouth shut.

Some key Hill Republicans, in fact, were upset that he returned front and center on the issue at a time when the White House had so carefully ceded the selling of the surge to Petraeus and Crocker. "Why would he threaten the momentum we have?" says one frustrated Capitol Hill Republican strategist with ties to the G.O.P. leadership. "You have an unpopular President going onto prime time television, interrupting Americans' TV programs, to remind them of why they don't like him."

Bush did more than remind the American people that this is his war, and that in supporting this war, the Repubicans are placing loyalty to the worst president in history above any demands of decency or common sense. In his speech, Bush raised the stakes of his long-shot gamble.

In the life of all free nations, there come moments that decide the direction of a country and reveal the character of its people.

Do you smell that? That's the odor of every possible bridge being burned. By supporting Bush now, Republicans are supporting the idea that Iraq is more than just a miserable conflict, badly planned and horribly executed. They're buying the idea that America is defined by what happens in Iraq.

In supporting Bush, they are placing every chip on the table, and accepting that they can never draw them back. You can not accept this cause as the cause and change your mind later. The Republicans are absolutely invested in this war. They hold only a 7-2 off suit, but they are all in.

Now all that is wanting is someone to call their hand.


This is another indicator that the next President will be a Democrat, with Iraq probably being the defining theme of the 2008 campaigns. Another indicator is the departure of Ken Mehlman, RNC Chair of the 2004 election, to advise a New York hedge fund on dealing with a Democratic White House and Congress.

The Economist looks at the influence of Iraq in Western politics this week, and asks why the anti-war movement has become so influential in the US yet nearly disappeared in Britain. It argues that "Britain's steady withdrawal from Iraq has also played a role in dampening active dissent. Why march to bring the boys home when Gordon Brown, the prime minister, is already expected to cut the forces in the field?" Its also important to bear in mind that this is the reverse of what is happening in the US: confronted with a failed strategy, Brown isn't ordering a "surge" as a last gamble with British lives for the sake of his reputation.

I marched against the war twice in 2003, and am happy to see the British troops being pulled out. Both Clinton and Obama promise that if they are elected, the US will be out of Iraq entirely by mid-2008. The sooner the better.

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